Skin cooling
From March 26, 2010, until November 25, 2015, simple measures were applied for skin cooling, like light clothing and being outdoors for about 3 h daily (meals, newspaper reading, cycling, etc.). On hot days (>25°C) 30 min were spent in a laboratory cold room (6°C). During two long periods (marked A and B, Fig. 1A) skin temperature was measured every 5 min (24/7) on 1,635 days at the right wrist (no RA-inflammation: joint prosthesis) using a SmartButton miniature temperature logger (ACR Systems Inc., Surrey, Canada). The metal casing of the logger rested against the skin and was kept in place by a watch band. Since the logger was very small (4 g), its temperature was considered to be close to the skin temperature and is here denoted as skin temperature.
Clinical laboratory measurements
Blood values of IgM-RF, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), C-reactive protein (CRP), and ACPA were collected from the reports of routine blood tests (every 4 weeks). The ACPA-level, which was measured since November 2012, varied between 17 and 33 U/ml.
Statistical analysis (by certified statistician)
Since the IgM-RF data were not normally distributed, the Spearman correlation coefficient between the 4 weekly blood levels of IgM-RF and the mean skin temperature of several preceding periods of time was calculated. The length of these preceding periods was increased by steps of 1 week from 1 to 17 weeks. Modelling by autoregressive integrated moving averaging (ARIMA) was used to determine the effect size of the reduction of IgM-RF due to decreased skin temperature.